| Kakadu18 said: I think the Switch will be at 105M at the end of 2021. |
I think that’s fair. A lot depends on their strategy for the next generation. I once assumed they were going for shorter iterative generations, but we’re a bit past the mark for that now, I think March this year was probably the last chance for that. We’re now in full length generation timelines.
But if Nintendo goes iterative but long term and doesn’t slam on the brakes, 150m seems inevitable. People remember Wii rising up really fast and then falling off just as fast. March 2009, the end of the Wii’s most successful fiscal year, the console had sold 50.38 million units… that’s less than half the Wii’s sales, about 49% of the way through its lifetime sales. And this is a console that Nintendo slammed the brakes on… examples of consoles that were allowed to coast include NES and PS2, both sold millions a year for around a decade, but then died off quickly after that.
I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.
