sundin13 said:
Polling really only works in aggregate (and even then it has issues), so it is hard for me to really accept the results of a single poll/pollster as proof of any big changes in preferences. Further, you can't really just put approval numbers over voting trends and expect a 1:1 trend. As voting is a comparison, you may disapprove of someone and still vote for them because the other candidate is worse. |
Trump is definitely proof of that. 70+ million votes with the worst approval rating in a long time. Even though he had a pretty low approval and high disapproval level he still gain the majority of the partisan vote.