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haxxiy on 25 July 2021
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JRPGfan said:
haxxiy said:

Doesnt that picture show that from around July 1st, it was around 6% positivity rate, and by the end of it (data on chart) its around 13%-14% ?
That chart seems to show its on a upward trend no?

That was what lead me to believe, things where getting worse in the UK, with infections.

That is what I meant. The number of tests is relatively flat; thus, the positivity rate will be a function of the number of reported cases on any given date.

Just like the graph shows, it's higher in the seven days up to July 19th because the number of cases in that time frame is proportionally higher than the number of cases at the beginning of the month. Once cases drop, as long as they drop relatively faster than the number of tests drop, the positivity drops too.

numberwang said:

Looking at "covid deaths" in Brazil. They had a massive explosion of "covid deaths" following the introducing of the vaxx in January 2020. March-July 2021 were much worse compared to the same time frame in 2020.

Blame the Gamma variant, not the vaccine. It is some 70% more transmissible than the basal B.1 lineages that were circulating before. The levels of vaccination at the beginning of the year wouldn't even begin to make a dent in it.

JRPGfan said:


Also Brazil numbers, of death are so inaccurate, you basically cant really use them.

Dr Miguel Nicolelis, a Brazilian professor of neuroscience at Duke University, told the BBC:
"The country is in a nationwide hospital collapse right now - it's the first time in history the public health system has collapsed.

"If we can acquire the vaccine in large quantities, we could at least mitigate the situation."

The IHME actually estimated most Brazilian states tracked the number of deaths better than most US states or even European countries, as you can see from their ratio of excess deaths vs. Covid deaths map:

Careful with your sources too. Dr. Nicolelis, with all due respect, has come up with a number of questionable predictions that didn't come to pass, such as saying the city of Porto Alegre would see "corpses piling on the streets, poisoning water supplies" after opening up in April, but cases and deaths actually continued to fall.

He also, on more than one occasion, shared fake news, such as that of a picture claiming the smoke rising from a crematorium was due to the high number of corpses, while it was actually a test-run of the cremators from before the pandemic even started, and I'm not sure if the picture was even from the same city he claimed it was.