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Famitsu Switch 3rd Parties 2017-2020 Top 20:

  1. Minecraft (Microsoft) - 1.702.921
  2. Momotaro Dentetsu (Konami) - 1.233.023
  3. Dragon Quest XI S (Square Enix) - 592.940
  4. Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun! (Bandai Namco) - 554.560
  5. Fishing Spirits (Bandai Namco) - 544.467
  6. Monster Hunter Generations Ultimate (Capcom) - 379.611
  7. Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games Tokyo 2020 (Sega) - 362.539
  8. Yo-kai Watch 4 (Level 5) - 358.356
  9. Hyrule Warriors: Age of Calamity (Koei Tecmo) - 304.963
  10. Dragon Quest Builders 2 (Square Enix) - 295.237
  11. Super Bomberman R (Konami) - 275.029
  12. eBaseball Powerful Pro Baseball 2020 (Konami) - 269.648
  13. Jikkyou Powerful Pro Baseball (Konami) - 225.614
  14. Octopath Traveler (Square Enix) - 193.780
  15. Disney Tsum Tsum Festival (Bandai Namco) - 185.990
  16. Dragon Ball: Xenoverse 2 (Bandai Namco) - 181.090
  17. Story of Seasons: Friends of Mineral Town (Marvelous) - 164.944
  18. Puyo Puyo Tetris S (Sega) - 154.573
  19. Super Dragon Ball Heroes: World Mission (Bandai Namco) - 145.720
  20. Fitness Boxing (Imagineer) - 141.889

TOTAL: 8.266.894

Famitsu Switch 3rd Parties 2021 Top 20:

  1. Monster Hunter Rise (Capcom) - 2.289.813
  2. Momotaro Dentetsu (Konami) - 1.036.834
  3. Minecraft (Microsoft) - 353.129
  4. Story of Seasons: Pioneers of Olive Town (Marvelous) – 281.140
  5. Monster Hunter Stories 2 (Capcom) - 169.787 
  6. Bravely Default II (Square Enix) – 136.091
  7. Rune Factory 5 (Marvelous) - 127.968
  8. Baseball Spirits 2021 (Konami) - 127.308
  9. Crayon Shin-Chan (Neos) - 107.319 / NEW
  10. Fitness Boxing 2 (Imagineer) - 88.481
  11. Dragon Quest XI S (Square Enix) - 81.702
  12. Little Nightmares II (Bandai Namco) - 72.796
  13. Human Fall Flat (Teyon Japan) - 68.533
  14. Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin (Marvelous) - 65.620
  15. Hyrule Warriors: Age of Calamity (Koei Tecmo) - 62.119
  16. Samurai Warriors 5 (Koei Tecmo) - 58.462
  17. Fishing Spirits (Bandai Namco) - 44.958
  18. Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun! (Bandai Namco) - 42.507
  19. Minecraft Dungeons (Microsoft) - 38.147
  20. Puyo Puyo Tetris 2 (Sega) - 36.105

TOTAL: 5.288.819

The gap between what Third Parties were able to achieve prior to 2021 and this year now shrinks to below 3 million

We have Yu-Gi-Oh, Ace Attorney Chronicles, Shin Megami Tensei V, Super Robot Wars 30, Kakarot, as games that should surpass 100K so far confirmed for the rest of the year,

Overall my expectations for the rest of the year are like this:

2.75M+ - Monster Hunter Rise(Capcom)

1.5M+ - Momotaro(Konami)

500K+ - Minecraft(Microsoft), Shin Megami Tensei V(Atlus), Yu-Gi-Oh(Konami)

400K+ - Olive Town(Marvelous)

300K+ - Monster Hunter Stories 2(Capcom), Crayon Shin-chan(Neos)

200K+ - Bravely Default II(Square Enix), Baseball Spirits(Konami)

150K+ - Rune Factory 5(Marvelous), Fitness Boxing 2(Imagineer), Dragon Quest XI S(Square Enix), Little Nightmares II(Bandai Namco), Human Fall Flat(Teyon Japan), Sakuna(Marvelous), Age of Calamity(Koei Tecmo)

100K+ - Ace Attorney Chronicles(Square Enix), Dragon Ball Z: Kakarot(Bandai Namco), Super Robot Wars 30(Bandai Namco), Samurai Warriors 5 (Koei Tecmo), Fishing Spirits(Bandai Namco), Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun!(Bandai Namco), Puyo Puyo Tetris 2(Sega), Minecraft Dungeons(Microsoft)

If these predictions end up close to reality, we are looking at over 8.5 million software from Third Parties just within the Top 20 games this year. This is a massive amount of sales across many different publishers. It also doesn't take into account digital sales which for some titles are considerable.

Also it's not really taking into account what I believe are at least half a dozen titles yet to be revealed which will after September and might be able to leave a mark of the year. With TGS taking place at the end of September, I anticipate a direct that will reveal the release dates a few more titles for the fall from third parties. 

Capcom >3.15M

Konami >2.2M

Marvelous >700K

Microsoft >600K

Bandai Namco >550K

Atlus >500K

Square Enix >450K

Neos >300K

Koei Tecmo >250K