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On another forum that I frequent, someone posted this, so I told him that I'm going to copy it word-for-word:

my usual 7 point twist, without giannis, so brook in giannis's spot

1 – brook vs ayton
2 – bud vs williams
3 – jrue vs chris paul
4 – 3pt% differential
5 – which defense prevails
6 – khris vs booker
7 – which team displays more playoff savy

If jrue can limit chris paul, which is not impossible, and khris is on the same planet as as booker, as long as the bucks don’t get blown out by 3pt%, they should win. A couple of ifs in there, but here is the bb ref comp for booker vs khris & jrue vs paul along with brook vs the scorching hot ayton.

khris vs booker
ppg 23.4 vs 27
rpg 8 vs 6.4
apg 5.1 vs 4.8
ts% 55 vs 56.6

https://stathead.com/tiny/dvCGF

jrue vs paul
17.6 vs 18.1
5.6 vs 3.9
8.4 vs 8.7
49.8 vs 56.6

https://stathead.com/tiny/qLKAb

brook vs ayton is not as far apart, as some might think

https://stathead.com/tiny/LVlbx

Then the bucks get giannis back, tucker, pat and portis vs the rest of the suns, if giannis is healthy enough, should be a nice edge to the bucks.