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That’s a strong analysis, but those last five million are going to be tough to clear in those countries.
PlayStation 5 is going to be the best selling console soon and I get the feeling Switch sales will slow down fast in the “Rest of the world” countries after Christmas 2022.

I think Switch will make it to at least 18.5 million in the “Rest of the world”, but it’s going to a tough slog after that. Would love it if I’m wrong and Switch matches PS4 sales figures.