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noshten on 04 July 2021
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2020 H1 TOTAL: 3.102.694
2020 H1 NSW HW: 2.666.882 (86%)
2020 H1 PS4 HW: 435.812 (14%)

2021 TOTAL HW: 3.685.073
2021 TOTAL NSW HW: 3.001.457 (81%)
2021 TOTAL PS4/PS5 HW: 683.616 (19%)

Top 30 2020 H1 Famitsu:

  1. [NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons - 5.004.720 NEW
  2. [PS4] Final Fantasy VII Remake (Square Enix) - 931.165 NEW
  3. [NSW] Pokemon Sword / Shield (Pokemon Co) - 650.859
  4. [NSW] Ring Fit Adventure - 577.875
  5. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 346.034
  6. [NSW] Smash Ultimate - 284.717
  7. [NSW] Minecraft (Microsoft) - 280.662
  8. [NSW] Pokemon Mystery Dungeon (Pokemon Co) - 259.513 NEW
  9. [PS4] Resident Evil 3 (Capcom) - 258.676 NEW
  10. [PS4] Yakuza 7: Like a Dragon (Sega) - 243.769 NEW
  11. [NSW] Dr. Kawashima's Brain Training - 219.039
  12. [NSW] Splatoon 2 - 217.875
  13. [NSW] Super Mario Party - 212.515
  14. [PS4] The Last of Us Part II (Sony) - 204.689 NEW
  15. [NSW] Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics - 171.620 NEW
  16. [PS4] Nioh 2 (Koei Tecmo) - 156.772 NEW
  17. [NSW] Luigi's Mansion 3 - 152.239
  18. [PS4] Persona 5 Scramble (Atlus) - 149.898 NEW
  19. [PS4] Dragon Ball Z: Kakarot (Bandai) - 149.654 NEW
  20. [PS4] Trials of Mana (Square Enix) - 133.593 NEW
  21. [PS4] One Piece: Pirate Warriors 4 (Bandai) - 131.315 NEW
  22. [NSW] Super Mario Maker 2 - 130.369
  23. [NSW] Xenoblade Chronicles: Definitive Edition - 123.920 NEW
  24. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 122.091
  25. [NSW] Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games (Sega) 119.007
  26. [NSW] One Piece: Pirate Warriors 4 (Bandai Namco) - 117.954 NEW
  27. [NSW] Fishing Spirits (Bandai Namco) - 111.474
  28. [PS4] Granblue Fantasy Versus (Cygames) - 111.094 NEW
  29. [NSW] New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe - 109.584
  30. [NSW] Trials of Mana (Square Enix) - 100.451 NEW

NSW - 20
PS4 - 10

TOTAL: 11.783.143

NSW TOTAL: 9.312.518 (79%)

PS4 TOTAL: 2.470.625 (21%)

Top 30 2021 H1 Famitsu:

  1. [NSW] Monster Hunter Rise (Capcom) - 2.272.644
  2. [NSW] Momotaro Dentetsu (Konami) – 1.009.417
  3. [NSW] Super Mario 3D World + Bowser's Fury - 790.477
  4. [NSW] Ring Fit Adventure – 567.664
  5. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe – 431.300
  6. [NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons – 429.186
  7. [NSW] Minecraft (Microsoft) – 316.005
  8. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate – 305.386
  9. [NSW] Story of Seasons: Pioneers of Olive Town (Marvelous) – 281.140
  10. [NSW] New Pokemon Snap (Pokemon Co.) - 248.991
  11. [NSW] Pokemon Sword / Shield + Expansion Pass (Pokemon Co.) - 238.732
  12. [NSW] Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics - 214.588
  13. [NSW] Splatoon 2 - 200.065
  14. [PS4] Resident Evil Village (Capcom) - 189.718
  15. [NSW] Super Mario Party - 188.692
  16. [NSW] Miitopia - 169.640
  17. [PS4] NieR Replicant (Square Enix) - 158.265
  18. [NSW] Bravely Default II (Square Enix) – 136.091
  19. [NSW] Rune Factory 5 (Marvelous) - 127.968
  20. [NSW] Game Builder Garage - 126.008
  21. [NSW] Pikmin 3 Deluxe - 103.273
  22. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 101.352
  23. [NSW] Super Mario 3D All-Stars - 100.954
  24. [NSW] Fitness Boxing 2 (Imagineer) - 80.912
  25. [NSW] New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe - 80.508
  26. [NSW] Mario Golf: Super Rush - 80.430 / NEW
  27. [NSW] Dragon Quest XI S (Square Enix) - 73.581
  28. [NSW] Little Nightmares II (Bandai Namco) - 72.796
  29. [NSW] Human Fall Flat (Teyon Japan) - 68.533
  30. [NSW] Super Mario Maker 2 - 67.692

NSW - 28
PS4 - 2

TOTAL: 9.232.008

NSW TOTAL: 8.884.025 (96.2%)

PS4 TOTAL: 347.983 (3.8%)

Nothing this year could match New Horizon last year on the Software side, however the real story is the decisive decline of the PS4/PS5 software Year over Year. Ten titles managed to make it in the Top 30 during the first half of 2020, in 2021 only two titles manages to make the Top 30 - Resident Evil: Village and Nier Replicant this doesn't bode well for the rest of the year as we enter the slow period for PS4/PS5. 

Next major titles on the system are Demon Slayer, Tales of Arise, Lost Judgement, Idolmaster, Horizon Forbidden West, Kena: Bridge of Spirits(maybe), Battlefield 2042, from these it's difficult to think of many that will surpass 200K which is the minimum needed to 100% ensure you make it into the Top 30 End of Year. Resident Evil: Village could very well end up the best selling PS4 game this year if software continues to under-perform. Demon Slayer is attached to a huge IP and is possibly the other game that has a chance to surpass 200K, while Tales of Arise & Lost Judgement would have probably gotten to 200K if they were launched an year earlier. 

In any-case there is definitely an existing scenario where the Top 30 is entirely Switch games, last year there were 8 PS4 titles that made the End of Year Top 30 - Final Fantasy VII Remake, Ghost of Tsushima, Resident Evil 3, Yakuza: Like a Dragon, The Last of Us Part II, eBaseball, Mobile Suit Gundam: Extreme Vs. MaxiBoost On & Nioh 2

This will be down to third parties support greatly accelerating compared to last year especially from Capcom, Konami, Marvelous, Atlus, Neos. The other factor is more mid-sized titles from Nintendo - Super Mario Party, Miitopia, Game Builder Garage, Mario Golf, Skyward Sword HD, Wariowear, Metroid Dread all have a good chance to make it to 200K leaving fewer slots for PS titles than ever before, especially as evergreens are already surpassing 200K. 

Legs for titles like Fitness Boxing 2, Human Fall Flat, Sakuna, DQXIS, Age of Calamity, Pikmin 3 Deluxe, might also push them towards 200K, as these games are continuing to add a thousand sales at the very least per week & likely to get boosts during Obon/December - making it very likely that a majority of them might also reach the milestone. 

It would be wild if PS manages zero percent market share in the Top 30 and would definitely hurt the long term aspirations of titles like Final Fantasy XVI or Monster Hunter World 2 as PS exclusives. 

Outside of actual hardware being re-sold outside of Japan there is no explanation on how on a system that has so far surpassed 850K units sold the best selling game is barely above 50K. Worst still is the PS4 software situation, as the audience there seems to have stopped buying software at large, leaving to a huge collapse for the system in terms of software sales YoY. 

It was always expected that Japanese third parties would be slow to transition to the PS5, we've seen it with the PS3 and the PS4... but now it's more of a question of what you are transitioning to? In the past you could make plans that were founded on strong third party sales on the PS ecosystem, PS2, PSP, PS3, PSV, PS4 all brought relative success for their third party backers, but those systems never really faced competition like the Switch. Even during the Wii/DS era at best Nintendo managed 65% of the hardware market-share and as far as third party sales there were fairly close between the two major platform holders. This year Nintendo continues to maintain over 90% of the software market and with Splatoon 3, Open World Pokemon and Zelda Sequel launching next year it's likely they will maintain their momentum into 2022.