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Famitsu Switch 3rd Parties 2017-2020 Top 20:

  1. Minecraft (Microsoft) - 1.702.921
  2. Momotaro Dentetsu (Konami) - 1.233.023
  3. Dragon Quest XI S (Square Enix) - 592.940
  4. Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun! (Bandai Namco) - 554.560
  5. Fishing Spirits (Bandai Namco) - 544.467
  6. Monster Hunter Generations Ultimate (Capcom) - 379.611
  7. Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games Tokyo 2020 (Sega) - 362.539
  8. Yo-kai Watch 4 (Level 5) - 358.356
  9. Hyrule Warriors: Age of Calamity (Koei Tecmo) - 304.963
  10. Dragon Quest Builders 2 (Square Enix) - 295.237
  11. Super Bomberman R (Konami) - 275.029
  12. eBaseball Powerful Pro Baseball 2020 (Konami) - 269.648
  13. Jikkyou Powerful Pro Baseball (Konami) - 225.614
  14. Octopath Traveler (Square Enix) - 193.780
  15. Disney Tsum Tsum Festival (Bandai Namco) - 185.990
  16. Dragon Ball: Xenoverse 2 (Bandai Namco) - 181.090
  17. Story of Seasons: Friends of Mineral Town (Marvelous) - 164.944
  18. Puyo Puyo Tetris S (Sega) - 154.573
  19. Super Dragon Ball Heroes: World Mission (Bandai Namco) - 145.720
  20. Fitness Boxing (Imagineer) - 141.889

TOTAL: 8.266.894

Famitsu Switch 3rd Parties 2021 Top 20:

  1. Monster Hunter Rise (Capcom) - 2.257.335 
  2. Momotaro Dentetsu (Konami) - 990.484
  3. Story of Seasons: Pioneers of Olive Town (Marvelous) – 281.140
  4. Minecraft (Microsoft) - 291.801 
  5. Bravely Default II (Square Enix) – 136.091
  6. Rune Factory 5 (Marvelous) - 125.632 
  7. Fitness Boxing 2 (Imagineer) - 76.107
  8. Little Nightmares II (Bandai Namco) - 72.796
  9. Dragon Quest XI S (Square Enix) - 71.424
  10. Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin (Marvelous) - 65.620
  11. Human Fall Flat (Teyon Japan) - 65.575
  12. Hyrule Warriors: Age of Calamity (Koei Tecmo) - 62.119 
  13. Fishing Spirits (Bandai Namco) - 44.958
  14. Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun! (Bandai Namco) - 42.507
  15. Minecraft Dungeons (Microsoft) - 38.147
  16. Puyo Puyo Tetris 2 (Sega) - 36.105
  17. Family Trainer (Bandai Namco) - 35.273
  18. Densha de Go!! (Square Enix) - 29.624
  19. Apex Legends (Electronic Arts) - 29.057
  20. eBaseball Powerful Pro Baseball 2020 (Konami) - 27.539

TOTAL: 4.779.334

Summer will be mostly Capcom & Konami making big strives among third parties. The biggest third party games of the summer are seemingly going to be from the two publishers. Although it's still early I can see Yu-Gi-Oh with good WoM being the highest potential game of the summer, remains to be seen but so far Konami has been very capable and all their games ended up surpassing 200K on the Switch. 

There is still time for a few more titles to be revealed for August & September but at the moment there are seven titles I think will definitely have the potential to surpass 100K sales this year. 

Currently I think Shin-kun & Samurai Warriors 5 might leg their way above 100K but that would depend on WoM. Shin-kun is the one with the higher potential due to the hype surrounding it's reveal and it's strong position in Amazon.co.jp for the past month. 

Not sure if we are going to see any other third party game that's launching this summer surpass 100K

400K+

  • Yu-Gi-Oh! Rush Duel (Konami)

300K+

  • Baseball Spirits (Konami)

200K+

  • Monster Hunter Stories 2 (Capcom)

100K+

  • Shin-kun (Neos)
  • Dragon Ball Z: Kakarot (Bandai Namco)
  • Samurai Warriors 5 (Koei Tecmo)
  • Ace Attorney Chronicles (Capcom)

We are likely going to see around 7 million software reached by third parties within the Top 20 by the end of September.