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Metallox said:
JWeinCom said:

My heart says 5 million, my brain says 2.5... I think that averages to... 3.75? I'll go with that.

Seems like a tough proposition to me, but hopefully you're right. I don't think a single Metroid game has ever come close to those numbers, has it? I feel like the sales data for Metroid titles is very elusive. 

Not that we know of, but I'm not sure how great our tracking is.

But, sometimes franchises just kind of take off. For example, the Fire Emblem franchise was virtually non-existent in the US and on its last legs before Awakening, and then it became a reliable 2-3 million seller. 

For Dread, I think the timing is right. The Switch is selling crazy numbers, and its fanbase should be receptive to this kind of game. The crazy long development and years of rumors gives the game a sort of mystique to it. Nintendo also hasn't been releasing that many games lately, particularly those appealing to the "hardcore" audience, so I think the audience is a bit hungry for games. 

I think it's pretty likely this will exceed the sales of all past Metroid games.