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I was going to write no way it hits 2 million after looking at the sales totals on VGChartz for Switch game sales.. Boy are they way out of date and so unexpected.

Wikipedia to the rescue:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_best-selling_Nintendo_Switch_video_games


Based on that list and looking at the less popular Nintendo franchises, I think it it will land somewhere between 1.8 to 2.5 million.