The_Liquid_Laser said:
I know this is from Atlus, but SMT V just got a November release date. Do you have numbers on how much does SMT and/or Persona usually sell in Japan? (or anyone really have numbers on this?) |
The best-selling Shin Megami Tensei game is Devil Summoner on the Sega Saturn with 355K sales all the way back in 1995. The last entry in the franchise - Shin Megami Tensei IV on the 3DS managed 259K sales
Persona 5 physical in Japan is over 400K in comparison.
So for Shin Megami Tensei V anything above 300K physical would be a success. I think we can get a better idea of what to expect once we get closer to the launch, but considering the launch date everything would depend on WoM. Monster Hunter Stories 2 seems similar in scope and budget and might have a similar marketing push by Nintendo - so it will give us an idea of what's possible.
The important thing to note is that the November slot will help it a lot if WoM is positive for the game, as we saw Nocturne has shipped over 100K on the Switch in Japan and that does tell us that there should be a decent audience for a new entry into the franchise.
Overall with positive WoM I can see definitely see it becoming the best selling game in the franchise, but WoM will be the critical part - as we've seen how botched launches have hurt some games while others were really accelerated by positive WoM for example a year ago no one had even heard of Sakuna and now we know it shipped over 600K in Japan alone.
