haxxiy said:
Well, this was sort of expected for a long time. Peru had 40 mechanical ventilators in the entire country when the pandemic began. 40. Even then, the new guidelines are probably the broadest assessment of what counts as Covid-19 deaths in the world, more so even than Belgium. The IHME, which has published estimates for all countries based on excess mortality, has pegged the current number of deaths in Peru to be a bit lower - 166,000 or so. In terms of worse outbreak in the world, it's a close contest between Peru and some Eastern European countries which are also around 0.3 - 0.5% of the population in excess deaths at the moment. That would suggest attack rates potentially above 50% too. |
Do those calculation with excess mortality correct for 'missing' flu deaths
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-01538-8
21 May 2020 How coronavirus lockdowns stopped flu in its tracks
Local data from the state of New York show a similar pattern. Although the flu season started a few weeks earlier than usual there, the rate of cases fell sharply and the season ended five weeks early. In Hong Kong, the 2019–20 influenza season was 63% shorter than those of the previous five years, and the number of deaths from lab-confirmed flu was 62% lower.
https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/news/newsroom/news-releases/covid-19-story-tip-flu-cases-dramatically-low-so-far-this-season
January 1st 2021 Typically, the winter months bring the peak of flu season. As cases of COVID-19 have soared in the U.S. over the past few weeks, however, cases of the flu have remained extremely low. Flu season typically peaks between December and February each year. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention estimates that the flu causes up to 45 million illnesses, up to 810,000 hospitalizations and up to 61,000 deaths each year. But this flu season, there have been just 925 cases of the flu around the U.S so far.
A positive effect of the pandemic. There are plenty negative ones as well, more cancer deaths due to delayed discovery and treatment for example.
