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Even with a generous 50% digital for Returnal in Japan we'd be looking at 13K sales at launch, even if we apply 50% digital for all PS5 games it will still be 1/3 of physical sales on the PS4 launch aligned in Japan. The situation with software sales on the PS5 in Japan is such that at this moment that YoY we would be looking at a decline from 6 million software sales during FY 2021 year to something around 1 million for FY 2022 unless some major games get announced. Resident Evil: Village, Scarlet Nexus, Tails of Arise, FFVII Remake Integrate are the biggest games launching until September and combined I think they will struggle to clear 500K.

Resident Evil:Village's PS5 version is already outside the Top 30 on Amazon.co.jp, and I'm expecting no more than 30K to 40K sales at launch. This means that it's launch will be closer to Resident Evil: Revelations 2 which launched at 40.749 on the PS4 and 73.074 on the PS3. And we are comparing a spin-off to a mainline entry 

Last edited by noshten - on 12 May 2021