Which system will win?

[Darc Requiem]

Zucas said:
Alright people cut the bullshit. Wii is in the same generation as PS3 and 360. Why are we still trying to say it isn't. Cop out.

Other than that right now it really does look like Wii will take it, but PS3 still has a chance. We can pretty much rule out a first place victory for 360 and pretty much rule out 2nd place for it as well. Has about a 95% chance of being a 3rd place captor.

Now wii will go strong through 2008 and into 2009, but the question is after 2009 will it start to die off. More than likely yes because the technology then will seem ancient, especially at how things advance these days. Thus it would seem PS3 would have time to catch up but here's the thing. If PS3 doesn't start to make a move until Wii starts fading, then there will be no way it can catch up. The 8th generation will take off too quickly and leave the PS3 behind, which will include the PS4. If PS3 wants to sell for years after the PS4 comes out it needs dominance like PS2, which it probably won't get. Meaning it needs to start getting all it can get.

When? Well probably NOW would be good. If PS3 doesn't change it's course by the end of 2008, then trends would suggest Wii will take this generation by a good 30- 40 million. If PS3 starts to move and limit the damage then the it could be only about 10-20 million difference. but if PS3 really takes off later in 2008 and carries over to 2009 then we are looking at a very slim victory for PS3 with Wii right behind it and 360 left in the dust.

However most trends would suggest a Wii victory, but it's not out of the question that PS3 can comeback and take a close 1st place victory.

Actually it is out of the question. It has never happened before and there is no reason to believe things will be different this time.