tbone51 said:
I figured it could do DS numbers prior but I been deadest on 40mil since dec. people need to realize NSW longevity and trajectory for its sales. NSW is at 20.04mil as of March. It could be 27-28mil (this is optimistic) by this time next year. but let’s play it safe. Slighlty down FY and make it 6mil by end of FY22. 26mil surpassing 3DS. Drop it YoY for 4 years afterward by 40-45% each time lmao.... You get this FY22: 6000k FY23: 3600k -40% (splat3/Project Triangle/MP4/etc) FY24: 1980k -45% FY25: 1200k -40% (NSW2 comes out which I doubt) FY26+ 600k -50% total: 33.38mil This EXAMPLE should open people’s eye |
Here's what I think is more likely:
FY22: 6500K
FY23: 4550k -30%
FY24: 2730k -40%
FY25: 1638k -40%
FY26: 819k -50% (NSW 2 release)
FY27+: 400k
36.637mil
So yeah, I'm going with 36mil.