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While Game Pass is an excellent offering and giving MS highly positive word of mouth right now, the real sales driver is exclusive games and with Bethesda under their belt aswell as other acquisitions finally coming to fruition I think MS could have enough power there to sell 100+m this gen.
Sure, all of those games also come to PC, yet as someone who played on PC exclusively for almost a decade I think it's great to just buy the console and know it'll get a more than adequate version (maybe missing some bells and whistles) tailor made for it.