With Nintendo having missed the mark last year by just under 1 million, it makes sense to discuss Switch's chances for 30m this year. As I said in the fiscal thread, Nintendo's forecast of 25.5 Million now represents the floor of any prediction that can be made this year, as in the investors meeting, Nintendo themselves stated that said figure was based solely on the level of production that they are certain they will be able to meet. As such, I feel that 26-30 Million is a reasonable range for predictions this year. If I were a betting man, I would definitely bet on the Switch shipping 30mil this year, but after having overshot my shipment predictions for 2 quarters running, I'll be keeping my estimates on the low end for now. Nonetheless, in my mind, there is a greater probability that the Switch will ship 30 million this year than under 25 million.
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