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RolStoppable said:

UPDATE: May 6th, 2021

Switch family - 84.59m (+4.72m this quarter)
-Switch - 69.89m (+3.54m)
-Switch Lite - 14.70m (+1.18m)

28.83m units of hardware and 230.88m games were shipped during the recently ended fiscal year. Nintendo forecasts 25.5m units of hardware and 190m games to be shipped during the fiscal year ending March 2022.

A good four years have passed since Switch has launched (49 months to be exact) and exceeding 100 million units lifetime is merely a formality at this point. In a similar way, beating PS4 sales is doubted by only a few people anymore, so the community has turned their eyes towards the next best targets, the DS and PS2.

https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/244614/will-switch-outsell-ps2/

The thread reads like so many before it, with Switch's lifespan being expected to end soon for no good reason among other flawed reasoning. What seems new is that it's contested whether or not a Switch revision should be counted towards Switch sales, but then again, the same thing occured on a smaller scale when the Switch Lite was announced about two years ago. But this matter remains as simple now as it was back then: It's a sure thing that Nintendo won't treat their upcoming revision as a different platform, so the only logical thing to do is count everything together just like it was with all other consoles and their respective revisions in the past.

As for the question if Switch will outsell the PS2, it's more a matter of when rather than if. Nintendo still has so many options left to maintain a high sales momentum, be it revisions, price cuts or the release of compelling first party software. All that is backed up by a healthy software pipeline from third party developers along with a monopoly in the portable console market and Switch's unique value proposition of being a home console and handheld console in a single device.

We are still years away from Switch passing the PS2, but this isn't really any different as with so many other milestones in the past. Switch is good to go.

Well said. When the Switch price cuts start sales will blow up again. I know for a fact when the OG Switch drops to $200 we would buy another one to replace a Lite. And when the "Pro" eventually comes out I will be buying that for myself and my OG will be given to one of my sons to replace the other Lite.

As for "years away", I don't think so. Likely 30m this year (if they can keep up with demand), another 25+ the next, and then 15+ the following (7th year) would put it right at the PS2 sales figures (still think this number is inflated). Switch will most likely past the PS2 by March 2024, that's less than 3 years away.

Last edited by scottslater - on 06 May 2021

Nintendo with the Switch: