Xbox 360 Million Seller Thread (Analysis, Updates, and Prediction)

[Riachu]

mrstickball said:

Zucas said:
How do you come up with the probability to be a million seller thing? Just curious.

I determine what my prediction will be for a given game, and then base probability that it will meet, or exeede those expectatons, and reach 1m LTD sales at a point in it's life.

 There is a small problem with your prodictions.  You are saying that ToV will have a better chance of hitting the a million mark than IU.  However, there are some facts you should know:

1.The Tales series is way more popular in Japan than in the US

2.The 360 has a small userbase in Japan and ToV probably wouldn't do all that well in Japan though it has a shot in the West

3.Square Enix, who are publishing IU, have historically done a better job of marketing their RPGs than Namco have