| curl-6 said: What makes Switch especially hard to predict in my view is the uncertainty regarding the length of its lifespan. Nintendo are very inconsistent when it comes to how long they support their systems for. For this reason, while 140-150 million seems most likely to me, it's hard to nail down when I can see it being replaced anywhere from 2022 to 2024. |
You can see it be replaced next year? The year that Splatoon 3 and Pokèmon Legends Arceus release, right after the consoles peak? That doesn't make sense. Also they made it clear several times last year, that the Switch will have a longer than usual life, so 7-8 years is what I expect, so replaced in 2024-2025. 2022 doesn't make any sense and even 2023 would be to early go against everything they said and did thus far, like announcing Splatoon 3 for 2022.
