Will Switch outsell DS? PS2? Or neither?

[Eagle367]

Shadow1980 said:

curl-6 said:

That's hardly fair, several of us wrote at length and in depth as to why we disagree with your analysis, providing plenty of reasoning and thorough explanation as to why we see things differently.

There's only three possible explanations for the Switch selling what it has over the past year:

1) The pandemic causing an increase in demand for at-home entertainment, including video games.

2) Residual effects from Animal Crossing.

3) Natural increase in demand.

I believe #1 is the only explanation that conforms to the available body of evidence. It explains the increase in demand not just for the Switch but for the PS4 & XBO as well. The other explanations simply aren't adequate, for reasons I spend countless hours explaining. When evidence was offered to back up those explanations, said evidence was either inapplicable or actually didn't prove anything. Nobody thought the Switch was going to sell anywhere close to what it did in 2020. Even the most optimistic predictions fell way short. Now some are pretending that the Switch would have sold what it did even if there had been no pandemic, despite every reason to believe the contrary. Even if we were to agree that the pandemic is not currently driving the high sales we see, that momentum would not have existed in the first place had the pandemic not been a thing. The COVID bump at minimum was a factor for a good number of months and opened the floodgates.

That's my position and I'm sticking to it until a better explanation emerges.

If some people don't agree with that, fine. I don't expect to be able to convince everyone. But I can't even mention the COVID bump without everyone dog-piling on me as if I had made the most preposterous claim since "the world is flat." I think a lot of this goes beyond simple disagreement, and that some people are taking it personally, as if I'm somehow diminishing the Switch's success or something. Regardless of the reasons, I'm tired of people jumping on my case and implicitly demanding I spend hours reiterating the same points I've made since last summer. We've been going around in circles for many months now.

It ends now.

I don't want anyone asking, inquiring, replying, or otherwise directly pestering me on the subject anymore. If people want to argue about something other than the pandemic's effects on sales, fine, but I don't want anyone arguing with me over the subject anymore. Not a one of us has anything new to add to the discussion, and so we're just wasting each other's time at this point.

Are we clear?

Ok let's talk new. You were gonna tell us your yearly predictions for the switch sales going forward like many of us have already done.