Series X and S are on track to sell 10 million units this year. The Xbox 360 did not sell 10 million units in a single year until its sixth year on the market.
I'm looking at the Xbox One data, and in its best year - 2015 - , that console sold 5.47 million units between September and December. Series X and S are ahead of the Xbox One in 2015 by a good margin so far, so assuming they can sell 6 million units between September and December this year - I'm being conservative here because of the lack of stock and production problems - , they would have to sell 4 million units between January and September to sell 10 million consoles in all of 2021. They have sold 1.5 million so far, so they should reach 4 million before September no problem.
Beyond 2021, Series X and S might also surpass the best year in terms of hardware sold for an Xbox console ever: 2011, when the Xbox 360 sold 13.94 million units.
Global sales after 22 weeks in the market:
Xbox 360: 2.79 million
Xbox One: 4.15 million
Xbox Series X/S: 4.53 million
If Microsoft cannot increase production much this year (in order to sell say 11 or 12 million consoles in 2021 instead of 10), then they should delay Starfield, Forza Horizon 5, Wolfenstein 3 or any other exclusive AAA games planned for 2021 that are not called Halo Infinite until next year, when production will have increased and the current chip manufacturing crisis is expected to come to an end.
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