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Farsala said:

It depends entirely on factors that are very difficult to predict.

1. Coronavirus- How long will it continue? When will people spend more on movies, restaurants, concerts etc again?

2. Nintendo- Does Nintendo want to release/ annnounce their next console in 2023 or 2024 or other? Do they want to release games past 2023? Do they want to price cut? Theoretically Nintendo could price cut the Switch to $99 and that would be 160m sales easy.

3. Competition- Does Sony want to price cut the PS5 or go for profit? Will GTA VI or other significant games release? Will MS buy Nintendo?

Shoot, I didn't think about that. When you consider everything that's going on Microsoft could actually be trying to merge with Nintendo. Keyword merge. I'm sure if Nintendo would be bought they'd wanna have their name in the new company that would actually be beneficial for Microsoft too. The new company would be called Microsoft-Nintendo. I don't think this merger would go through with authorities though. It would be too powerful in the Videogame space. Now a partnership where Nintendo games Come to Xbox/Pc and Xbox games to Nintendo. That would be something I'd like to see. Imagine Botw 2 on Pc with Rtx on+hdr that would actually get me to upgrade my Graphics card as soon as possible.