Yes, Switch will be the best selling gaming hardware of all time. It has created a new market that many didn't realize they wanted or needed. Almost everyone I know that owns a Switch Lite owns a regular Switch so they can still participate in this new market. The ability to take a home console experience with you when you travel cannot be matched by anyone else yet. I mean, are we forgetting that the Switch just had an amazing February?
“Nintendo Switch was the best-selling hardware platform in both units and dollars in February,” said Piscatella. “Unit and dollar sales of Nintendo Switch hardware in February were the highest for any hardware platform in a February month since the Nintendo Wii in February 2009.”
The momentum for the Switch is going up, not down, so this FY it will see an increase in sales, next FY will likely see sales similar to last years. Let's not forget that any variant that comes out will be purchased by people that already have a Switch. The Switch is the ultimate collectible item with custom docks, skins, joy-cons, retail box, etc. After four years the Switch will likely be in 7th or 8th place in all time sales already, and this is without a price cut.
2021 FY sells 28m
2022 FY sells 23m
2023 FY sells 18m
2024 FY sells 13m
The next four years looking like this would put it at roughly 160m units...
I think the better question going forward should be what could cause the Switch to fail at being the best selling hardware of all time.
Nintendo with the Switch:
