Coronavirus (COVID-19) Discussion Thread

[chakkra]

Mnementh said:

chakkra said:

I think they might have reached herd immunity already. The daily cases have been consistently dropping for months now. They reached a daily peak of 10,213 cases about two months ago and yesterday they only had 202 cases. And they reached a peak of total active cases of 80,899 by February 4th, and it has dropped to only 2,945 cases yesterday.

When it comes to deaths, they reached a peak of 101 on January 20th and it has been consistently dropping to the point that only 2 people were reported yesterday.

60% alone would be not enough for herd immunity. But maybe immunity after infection might play a role too and push it to 70% or something (reported numbers indicate that around 9% of the population was infected at some point, with non-detected cases it moight be higher). That would be enough for the the initial variant, but not enough for some of the more infectious mutations. Still, this amount of immunity would slow spread enough, that with light measures you could control it.

Yesterday they only reported 34 news cases, with only one death. This gives me hope that once at least 60% of the population is vaccinated things might get back to normal.