The evolution of the console market over time

[The_Liquid_Laser]

Pyro as Bill said:

The_Liquid_Laser said:

There is no mega seller on the Switch that is as simple as Wii Sports.  The Switch is selling to a different crowd, and that crowd doesn't really care about accessibility.  I would be shocked if I walked into a retirement center and they were all playing Animal Crossing.  I wouldn't be shocked if they were still playing Wii Sports, because no other game has come along to get them to buy a Nintendo system.  Animal Crossing is selling to a totally different crowd.  It's not pulling in the Wii gamers.

Mario Kart (wheel), RFA (weight loss) and Just Dance (waggle) can't sell the numbers they're selling without some of the Wii casuals.

Was 30-100 people sharing a single console in a retirement home really responsible for a large portion of casual Wii sales?

RFA is definitely pulling in people from the Wii.  I'll give you that.  However, that is the only Switch game pulling the new gamers from the Wii.  It also isn't even in the top 10 yet.  Perhaps 7m out of the 80m Switch owners are actually new gamers from the Wii.  That is still less than 10% of the base.  The Wii crowd is not the reason why the Switch is so successful.

Just Dance...do you have sales numbers for this?  I would love to know how much Just Dance is selling on the Switch.

Mario Kart is what Nintendo called a bridge game.  It appeals both to new gamers and also to really experienced gamers.  It can be hard to tell where those sales are coming from.  What I can tell you, for sure, is that Mario Kart was the most popular game on both the Wii U and the 3DS.  It is also currently the most popular game on the Switch.  It was not the most popular game on the Wii.  Wii Sports was by far the most popular game.

It is disingenuous to say the Switch is like the Wii and unlike the Wii U and 3DS.  The top 10 on the Switch looks a whole closer to the top 10 on the Wii U and 3DS than it does the top 10 on the Wii.  Here take a look.
https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/finance/software/wiiu.html

This idea that the Switch is selling because it pulled in the Wii gamers that the 3DS and Wii U missed is very much like forcing a square peg into a round hole.  These "new" sales the Switch is getting are not coming from the Wii.  The extra sales are coming from the PS4 and XB1 crowd.  The PSP was essentially a portable PS2.  The Switch is essentially a portable PS4, except you can also play it on a TV just fine and it has all of Nintendo's fantastic first party games.  Twilight Princess was a launch title, but it did not make it into the Wii's top 10.  On the other hand BotW seems to just keep selling.  This is not a game for the Wii crowd.  It most definitely is a game for PS4 and XB1 gamers.