MH Rise will be the best selling third party game on the Switch that we will actually get hard numbers for. Unfortunately, we will probably never know how much Minecraft has sold on the Switch and that would be MH Rise's main competition. I am quite confident Minecraft on Switch will eventually sell more than 10M copies if it hasn't done so already.
curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6
My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox