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Don't know if this is really "that" bold tbh because of the situation with the 3DS games as many people would wait for the second version of the games and the releases were more frequent as well so legs were often cut off by Capcom themselves. MH4 for example when both versions are combined equal like 8m sales then a year later Generations/Cross was released, Rise likely isn't going to have an enhanced version like the 3DS games or another game arrive after it (at least in the short term) it's more likely going to be like World where DLC and expansions are added meaning to get the new content the base game has to be bought.

7m in the long run wouldn't be as much of a surprise tbh as the series has been pushing 4-5m on individual releases, 7-8m if we combine iterations and Rise has a platform that accommodates both portable and home which for MH have mainly been two separate entities.