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I voted in the 10m-14.9m category. I think the success of MH World will translate to MH Rise, but Rise is only on two platforms. However, I realize that I may be underestimating sales just based on the "Switch factor". People seem very eager to buy Switch games right now, and that may or may not give another big boost to Rise.

curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6

My Threads:
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox