mk7sx said:
FWIW, NDS 08 is a 53 week year on VGChartz (just like 2020). Through 52 weeks, NDS 07 was indeed slightly ahead. That said, per Nintendo's FY shipments, NDS FY07 (04 07 - 03 08) was ~30M and NDS FY08 (04 08 - 03 09) was ~31M, so they are definitely neck-and-neck. I think NSW 21 will take the #1 spot in the end. Much stronger predicted SW lineup than last year and they had supply issues all year last year that they've now had time to prepare for (we're still seeing shortages, but not as bad). If they can get the Pro revision out in Sep, I expect 33-35M. If its a Nov release, maybe 30-32M. If it gets pushed to next year then be right around 2020's range. |
I'm really not sure how this year will turn out yet, other than I think Switch will have another really good year. But I don't know if it will be up or down from 2020 yet. It just seems incredible to me that a system could set the all time annual sales record in its 5th year. At a certain point sales come down for every system, no matter how successful it is.
On the other hand, you make a lot of really good points. All signs indicate that software releases will be stronger this year. A new Switch model will definitely boost sales. And most importantly, Nintendo should be much more prepared this year for Switch's high demand. If Switch '21 outperforms last year, then it might be the last point that is the most important. Who knows how much the Switch could have theoretically sold in '20 if Nintendo had ample supply? That is how I make sense of it anyway. I can see '21 being up YoY, in the Switch's 5th year, just because of supply shortages in '20.
curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6
My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox