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Agente42 on 20 March 2021
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brute said:
Shadow1980 said:

Is it really that hard to believe? Shipped has never equaled sold. As of the end of 2020, the lifetime sell-through in Japan was sitting at about 17.65M, compared to 18.88M shipped. In the Americas, assuming again the U.S. is 90% of the regional market the LTD for the region is about 29M or so, compared to 31.17 shipped. So, between NA & Japan alone, we're already looking at well over 3 million units that have been shipped but not yet sold.

Looking at other systems, we see pretty much the same thing. For example, the PS4's LTD at the end of its fourth year was 73.6M units sold against 76.5M shipped, leaving 2.9M units unsold.

At this point in a system's life, several million units sitting out there in the wild is not unusual. Nintendo's "over 74 million" figure is not improbable.

If you are using Famitsu sell through then the numbers are missing Nintendo online sales. Famitsu doesnt track those.

Just look at 3ds shipped vs sell through. And we know there is no chance 3ds has that many in Japan shelves.

Additionally, I dont have the numbers in front of me but Switch is performing better in Canada relative to % of Americas.

Id put Switch US sales at around 85% of Americas, and not 90%.

Plus Ninty sell through has always been proven inaccurate as Nintendo usually on references sales for NA, EU and Japan. Theyve even mentioned this in their reports.

But you probably already knew all this being the sales numbers person that you are.

famitsu don't tracker amazon neither nintendo store. The numbers of physical games and consoles aways don't match because of this. And famistsu digital is a joke estimation. 

Shadow again make wrong conclusion? For someone alleged knows make one market analysis, u need to study the trackers better. 

6m on the shelves? Console with short supply in US/Japan/Europe and 6 m on the shelves?

Historically, Nintendo Estimation sold numbers is low bar and worst-case scenario. It's funny 6m on the shelves and all the retailers in the world with OG low or zero stock situation. U don't research this? Look the availability? it's seem you don't make this.

Last edited by Agente42 - on 20 March 2021