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ice said:

PS1 still wins

In a altered timeline, 3rd party companies would probably port most of the games to Sega which is primary what Sony relied on with their first console. Sega would have had the 1st party edge and if they released the Saturn at a similar price to the PS1 and convinced majority of PS1's 3rd party catalog with games like MGS, FF7 and Silent Hill etc, adding on top of Sega's own library, their wouldn't be much the PS1 would have over the Saturn outside hardware limits.