yo33331 said: I am quoting my post from the another topic here on the PS2 vs switch battle .. |
This analysis makes absolutely no sense.
FY21-30 million (LTD-113 million)
FY22-30 million (LTD-143 million)
FY23-10 million (LTD-153 million)
FY24-2 million (LTD-155 million)
No console in the history of ever has had such a drastic drop off in sales from its peak.
Look at DS which had double 30 million years.
FY08-30.31 million
FY09-31.18 million
FY10-27.11 million
FY11-17.52 million
Or Wii which is known for having a quick drop from its peak.
FY09-25.95 million
FY10-20.54 million
FY11-15.08 million
FY12-9.84 million
Or look at PS4s steady drop from its peak
FY16-20.0 million
FY17-19.0 million
FY18-17.8 million
FY19-13.6 million
There is a high chance that Switch does not reach DS or PS2 sales but it absolutely does not need to sell 30 million in each of the next 2 years to reach it.
FY21-27 million (LTD-110 million)
FY22-21 million (LTD-131 million)
FY23-15 million (LTD-146 million)
FY24-8 million (LTD-154 million)
FY25-3 million (LTD-157 million)
FY26-1 million (LTD-158 million)
Here is a potential trajectory that is far more likely than going from 30 million in a year to 10 million the next.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.