Torpoleon said:
Kind of wish Switch reached 80m in 2020, but at least it was very close.
In 2021, I could see Switch ending with over 100 million in sales, or at least close to it and then passing it in Q1 2022. This is a breakdown of all the sales goals I hope Switch achieves in 2021 and the quarter I hope to see it, as well as the percent chance I give of it happening in that quarter:
1. Surpass GBA- Q1 (100%)
2. Surpass PSP- Q1 (100%)
3. Surpass 360- Q2 (99%), Q3 (100%)
4. Surpass PS3- Q3 (99%), Q4 (100%)
5. Reach 100 Million- Q4 (95%), Q1 2022 (100%)
6. Surpass Wii- Q4 (90%), Q1 2022 (100%)
7. Surpass PS1 - Q4 (85%), Q1 2022 (100%)
Ultimately, I'd like for Switch to end the year around 103 million. A total of about 23 million in 2021, a slight drop off from 2020, but still understandable. I do see us getting a better lineup, as well as price cuts and revisions, which is why the drop isn't as bad as one would think. I could see it being 21 or 22 million though, but I don't see it being less than 2019. And then next year we can look at Switch surpassing GB & PS4 (the latter will probably surpass the former by a little bit by then). Breakdown of how I picture Switch sales by quarter this year: Q1: 3 million Q2: 3.5 million Q3: 4 million (Switch revision/price cut/BOTW 2) Q4: 12 million (DP remakes) If Switch could have a great holiday with no big titles, surely it can do slightly better with big titles, price cut and revisions. This kind of mirrors 2019, in terms of what was released. |
