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Hoping and reasonably confident that the vaccines will work (to at least avoid further waves) my eyes are on Israel.

https://www.livemint.com/news/world/israel-offers-glimpse-of-a-world-vaccinated-from-covid19-11611742270890.html

Israel’s citizens are at the forefront of the world’s most aggressive vaccination campaign. With more than 30% of its population having received the first dose of the vaccine and 14% having had the second, the country’s residents offer an early glimpse of what life might be like as vaccinations become the norm in society.

The answer: Not much different to now, public-health restrictions remain in place and new variants of the virus are on the loose.

“The war is still ahead of us," Chezi Levy, director-general of Israel’s health ministry, told Radio Kan on Monday. “If we don’t know how to behave according to the regulations we’ve made, we won’t beat this sickness. The vaccines alone won’t be enough."

Cases are going down in Israel yet no more or less than in other countries with restrictions, same with death rates. Changes should start to become visible in the next couple weeks though.

In about two weeks, Israel is expected to have given 2.5 million of its approximately nine million people both their first and second shots. Israeli officials are eyeing a full reopening of the economy if they can control the new variants in the coming weeks.

28% immune in two weeks should have an impact on the spread. Here we are currently at 0.7% that have received both doses, 5.7% has received one dose.