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Since Nintendo's FY20 Q3 earnings release is approaching, here are the last known domestic shipments for Nintendo titles on Nintendo Switch (LTD as of September 30, 2020 unless noted otherwise):

Title (release year) - sales units <rank among the best-selling games ever>

01. Animal Crossing: New Horizons (2020) - 8.180.000 <2nd>
02. Super Smash Bros. Ultimate (2018) - 4.820.000 <13th>
03. Pokémon Sword/Shield (2019) - 4.770.000 <14th>
04. Splatoon 2 (2017) - 4.350.000 <19th>
05. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (2017) - 4.040.000 <25th>

06. Super Mario Odyssey (2017) - 2.530.000
07. The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (2017) - 2.230.000
08. Pokémon: Let's Go, Pikachu/Eevee! (2018) - 2.070.000 * as of March 31, 2020
09. Super Mario Party (2018) - 2.070.000
10. Ring Fit Adventure (2019) - 1.800.000

11. Super Mario Maker 2 (2019) - 1.160.000 * as of March 31, 2020
12. New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe (2019) - 1.130.000
13. Luigi's Mansion 3 (2019) - 920.000
14. Kirby Star Allies (2018) - 860.000 * as of March 31, 2019
15. Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics (2020) - 800.000

16. Super Mario 3D All-Stars (2020) - 750.000
17. Fire Emblem: Three Houses (2019) - 580.000 * as of March 31, 2020
18. Mario Tennis Aces (2018) - 550.000 * as of March 31, 2019
19. ARMS (2017) - 470.000 * as of March 31, 2018
20. The Legend of Zelda: Link's Awakening (2019) - 430.000 * as of March 31, 2020

21. Paper Mario: The Origami King (2020) - 430.000
22. Pokémon Mystery Dungeon: Rescue Team DX (2020) - 360.000 * as of March 31, 2020
23. Nintendo Labo Toy-Con 01: Variety Kit (2018) - 330.000 * as of March 31, 2019
24. 1-2-Switch (2017) - 320.000 ** from April 1, 2017 to March 31, 2018 (launch month shipments are unknown)
25. Xenoblade Chronicles 2 (2017) - 310.000 * as of March 31, 2018

26. Xenoblade Chronicles: Definitive Edition (2020) - 300.000
27. Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze (2018) - 290.000 * as of March 31, 2019
28. Captain Toad: Treasure Tracker (2018) - 240.000 * as of March 31, 2019
29. Astral Chain (2019) - 160.000 * as of March 31, 2020
30. Yoshi's Crafted World (2019) - 140.000 * as of March 31, 2019

31. Marvel Ultimate Alliance 3: The Black Order (2019) - 40.000 * as of March 31, 2020

Unknown:
- Snipperclips: Cut It Out, Together! (2017)
- Mario + Rabbids: Kingdom Battle (2018)
- Bayonetta 2 (2018)
- Nintendo Labo Toy-Con 02: Robot Kit (2018)
- Sushi Striker: The Way of Sushido (2018)
- Nintendo Labo Toy-Con 03: Drive Kit (2018)
- Xenoblade Chronicles 2: Torna - The Golden Country (2018)
- Nintendo Labo Toy-Con 04: VR Kit (2019)
- Tetris 99 (2019)
- Dr Kawashima's Brain Training for Nintendo Switch (2019)
- Tokyo Mirage Session ♯FE Encore (2020)

Animal Crossing: New Horizons has far exceeded Pokémon Red/Green (8.22m) during the last quarter, likely topping 9 million units LTD. Super Smash Bros. Ultimate and Pokémon Sword/Shield both certainly passed 5m and in all likelihood beat Brain Age 2 (5.10m) to rank #12 and #13. Splatoon 2 and Mario Kart 8 Deluxe should both be around 4.5m, if eShop sales were strong they might even have surpassed Pokémon X/Y (4.56m) which stood at #16.

That's at least five titles that will top 5m on Switch in Japan and then Ring Fit Adventure, Monster Hunter Rise, Tomodachi 3 and Pokémon 9G could also have a shot at it. I guess Minecraft has a very slim chance too, depending on how high its digital sales are, but we will probably never know. Maybe another new IP from Nintendo that becomes a surprise hit like Splatoon and Ring Fit, but that's not something to bet on.

Last edited by HereWeGo - on 19 January 2021