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MS will try to not repeat mistakes made with XBOne, so, despite weaker than PS5, XS could gain a few percent more compared to its predecessor, plus MS will also do its best to reach a symbolically important milestone. I'd say 10.1M

Stwike him, Centuwion. Stwike him vewy wuffly! (Pontius Pilate, "Life of Brian")
A fart without stink is like a sky without stars.
TGS, Third Grade Shooter: brand new genre invented by Kevin Butler exclusively for Natal WiiToo Kinect. PEW! PEW-PEW-PEW!