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Chrkeller said:

And the two above posts highlight my point exactly, indie games (while quite good) aren't contending for GoTY against AAA titles.

Just look at previous winners, they are all AAA.

Telltale was a small independent studio when they won with the first season of the Walking Dead.  It was only after that success that they blew up - then overextended themselves and are now defunct.

Journey was also highly regarded that year.