Coronavirus (COVID-19) Discussion Thread

[SvennoJ]

Why are we back to, it's not so bad, not that many people were going to die in the first place. It's only not so bad because we're doing all this shit to prevent it from becoming more than 'not so bad'. Exponential growth is what we're trying to prevent and so far we are succeeding at that at least.

Despite all the measures, the UK was back to 1.6x growth per week. The vast majority still has not had Covid-19. Not doing the lock downs wasn't working despite continued pleas from the governments to be more careful. 1.6x growth per week will quickly overwhelm the hospitals, causing many more deaths also from other situations that require hospital attention.

1.6x per week, that's about 7.5x growth per month, 56 times growth in 2 months. Exponential growth is the real killer. Stop with the comparisons to car crashes and sugar, those don't have exponential growth if left unchecked. Plus the more the virus is in circulation, the more chances it has to mutate into something more contagious or damaging like now again in the UK and South Africa.

Facts:
84,355,259 people infected so far, 1,834,484 dead

Both likely under reported, infections more so.
Dirty estimate 800 million people have had it already, 2.5 million dead
That leaves room for at least another 15-20 million deaths, if remaining at this pace (no overwhelmed hospitals) with another 7 years of lock downs before herd immunity might work. How effective is immunity though and how long will it last, and will it not mutate into something worse.

Relax the measures and let the rest get it over the next 6 months? Hospital collapse. Go ask some people working at hospitals how well its going. We're back into lock downs because despite all the measures, mandatory masks, isolating the elderly, social distancing, online learning, pleading the public to avoid travel, hospitals ran out of capacity again and have to cancel other surgeries.

Last edited by SvennoJ - on 03 January 2021