dmillos said:
@Mar1217 I agree with you, whatever the switch ends up making this year can only be considered an outstanding result. It is going to be over 40% growth from it's previous year, something that as far as I can tell, no other console has done so in it's fourth year of release (months 37-48). In the chart below you will see how much each console grew from year 3 to year 4. Also you see how much the switch would need to sell in order to match such growth. Basically it only has the PS3 to pass.
It is true that Many nintendo consoles on vgchartz show that they have poor legs, I wish we could see how older consoles did, but it seems likely that it was similar to what happened with the 3ds or the wii. Having said that. the DS is a big exception, as it sold more than any other console (at least the ones we have data on) during the second half of its life cycle. I don't see any reason to believe that the switch will have the future of most nintendo consoles. It should be closer to what the DS did than to what the Wii did. Here is a chart comparing first and second halves of each console based on months released:
WiiU barely made it to the "Second Half" |
We need two things: numbers and context.
Nintendo, since 1989, never has one pipeline for software production. It's new territory here. The transition, from Nintendo perspective, seems hard because needs to take four pipelines ( at the same time), the other company has two or three, in the best-case scenario ( Sony abandons Psvita because of that. Focus in Ps4 is a correct path). And the transition has only two. The long span life for Switch is a focus by Nintendo. Maybe, with luck, the fifth year may become the top year? The new version, a ton of games, and price reduction of older versions? Let's see.
