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couchmonkey said:

This thread is long enough I must be the third guy to say this, but I think Switch is in for a tough 2021 unless they ramp up the games. No more stuck at home bonus sales after summer 2021 and vaccines start coming out.

Really?? If anything Switch looks like it will have an explosive 2021! We already know of several mega selling games that will hit Switch in 2021, we have reports that Nintendo is planning a huge 2021 software-wise, and a new model is coming out. I'd say Sony and Microsoft are in for a tough 2021 due to Switch dominance.

couchmonkey said:
JimmyFantasy said:

To reach a 150m userbase?
It needs several things to be done right.

For the casual mass market:
It needs more hit-games like Ring Fit Adventure, Brain Training, Pokemon and Animal Crossing.

For the hardcore Nintendo fans:
It needs several first-party games currently missing like Metroid Prime 4, Bayonetta 3, a new F-Zero, a new Wave Race, a new kid Icarus, a new Super Mario 2D.

For the general hardcore gamer:
It needs more RPGs, an exclusive Final Fantasy and/or Dragon Quest game and many other popular jRPGs.
Overall it also needs more racing games (Ridge Racer 8?), more fighting games (Street Fighter, Tekken, Soul Calibur) and more first-person adventure, possibly exclusivesc for the Switch.

Finally, a new Switch TV home-only console at full power and low-price would help convincing some more people.

2D Mario is a great idea, but in general I think the hardcore base that wants games like F-Zero and Kid Icarus has already bought switch.  I’d like a “Wii” sports Golf with motion controls.

For sure Switch needs more Ring Fit games, more Pokemon (a remake is rumored to be coming out next holiday season, that's an easy ~15 million seller).

For sure Switch needs MP4 to finally come out at some point, as well as anticipated sequels in series we've been waiting for a long time. Nintendo still has a bunch of small-to-mid size series that haven't even touched the Switch.

For sure Switch needs to continue getting bigger and more established third party games. Though every year this gets better on Switch and I'm sure 2021 will be no different. 2020/2021 seems to be the period in which we've seen third party games release several years late to releasing around the same time or even first on Switch. Very good sign for third party library in the future!

Both an upgraded hybrid model at $300 and an upgraded Switch Home at some point are both needed to keep Switch going strong into it's later years by giving possible new consumer options and therefore motivation to buy, as well as current owners motivation to upgrade. If premium hybrid comes out in 2021 and Home comes out 2022/2023 that'd be good.

Switch absolutely needs a fresh 2D Mario game on Switch. Even the mediocre old "New" series 2D port will go well above 10 million sales. A brand new fresh take on the series on Switch is a likely 20 million seller and system selling game. 100% agree with Wii sports as well. Wii Sports is a hugely popular series and even just a port of the Wii Sports Club from Wii U (Wii Sports with online play) would be another easy 10 million seller and be a great add on for both core gamers and casuals alike who own or are thinking about getting the system.

So yeah what is needed is new models that attract more people and convince current owners to upgrade. A few more entries from Nintendo's main mega selling series (one or two more Pokemon, 2D Mario, BotW2), releasing all the small/mid tier Nintendo series that have yet to hit the system. Bring "handheld style" 2D games that would normally be on Nintendo's portable system to the Switch like the Link's Awakening remake, stuff like a new 2D Metroid, maybe even a new 2D Zelda, and a bunch of other portable series that have yet to hit the Switch. More collections or remasters of old game: I'm looking at you Galaxy 2, Metroid Prime Trilogy, and a Zelda Collection. More casual games like Wii Sports Club port, more Ring Fit games, and so on. 150 million will be hard, but it is doable if Nintendo actually does what Nintendo fans want it to do!