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JimmyFantasy said:

To reach a 150m userbase?
It needs several things to be done right.

For the casual mass market:
It needs more hit-games like Ring Fit Adventure, Brain Training, Pokemon and Animal Crossing.

For the hardcore Nintendo fans:
It needs several first-party games currently missing like Metroid Prime 4, Bayonetta 3, a new F-Zero, a new Wave Race, a new kid Icarus, a new Super Mario 2D.

For the general hardcore gamer:
It needs more RPGs, an exclusive Final Fantasy and/or Dragon Quest game and many other popular jRPGs.
Overall it also needs more racing games (Ridge Racer 8?), more fighting games (Street Fighter, Tekken, Soul Calibur) and more first-person adventure, possibly exclusivesc for the Switch.

Finally, a new Switch TV home-only console at full power and low-price would help convincing some more people.

2D Mario is a great idea, but in general I think the hardcore base that wants games like F-Zero and Kid Icarus has already bought switch.  I’d like a “Wii” sports Golf with motion controls.