Ryng said:
Both your Europe and America numbers are super low. Switch was at 26.58 million in America at the end of September, should be at 33-34 million at the end of the year, you are predicting only 11-12 million more after that, which is not only extremely low but, it's what it should sell only in 2021. Switch will be above your 45 million estimate in America before 2022 begin. |
I don't believe that those too are low. 45M in America would be the best selling console in America since the Wii. Also, 26.58M after three and a half years is a pretty good middle ground. Maybe it might reach up to 50M, but that would be the absolute maximum. Also, yes I am predicting only 11-12M sold in America after four and a half years on the market. I think that's actually really good.
Though Switch is doing well in Europe, Nintendo consoles in general do not perform as well as Playstation in the regions. Currently the console is at 18M, but I actually suspect that, by year four or five, sales will begin slowing down much harder in this region than others due to Playstations prevalence.
I mean, 130M is nothing to sneeze at. It will likely outsell the PS4 and become the third best selling console of all time. I think that is more likely than selling 170M.
