| Elputoxd said: Bethesda games will be exclusive to Xbox and PC, that's the main reason why Xbox will grow in market share this gen. And neither Xbox nor PS5 will come close to beating the Switch in sales. |
A few years ago I was one of the people who believed that the Switch was not a direct competitor of the Xbox and Playstation... that said, my opinion changed.
Hypothetically, what happens if the first party games on Xbox and playstation continue to grow in number, quality and sales, so that both consoles start to have significant differential factors (exclusive games that can only be played on these platforms)? In this scenario, I can no doubt see the logic "I buy Nintendo consoles to play Nintendo games" also applying to Sony and Microsoft consoles.
Three consoles with differentiating factors that make them unique (Exclusive Games). Suddenly the three "boxes" exist in "blue waters", that said, would it be a case in which the "blue and red ocean" philosophy that brought Nintendo so much success reaches a limit?
I don't believe in the idea that Nintendo will always have a "special Blue Ocean" permanently. That said, if playstation and Xbox differ enough from each other, I can see Nintendo's sales being affected.
In a simplified and direct way:
Fewer people thinking "N + P or X, because P and X are practically the same" and more people thinking "X and P are so different, I prefer (X + P), I don't need N".
Will this affect the switch? I doubt it, but what about the next Nintendo console, will it live in a "blue Ocean"? I have my doubts.
if you don't know the blue ocean strategy. A good 1 min. reading:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blue_Ocean_Strategy
Essay Pro