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noshten on 29 November 2020
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RolStoppable said:

noshten said:

(...)

We will see real acceleration in the coming weeks/months, by the end of the FY Switch's 3rd Party Top 30 will be either very close or already above the PS4's Top 30. 

Third party games don't sell on PS consoles. No wonder that so many publishers have decided to make their games also for Switch, Xbox and PC.

Famitsu Top 100 PS4/PSV/PS3 SKUs(2014 - 2019):

  1. PS4 2018 - 8.645.408
  2. PS4 2017 - 8.360.977
  3. PS4 2016 - 7.328.612
  4. PS4 2019 - 7.181.200
  5. PS3 2014 - 5.733.625
  6. PS4 2015 - 3.945.641
  7. PSV 2016 - 3.512.146
  8. PSV 2014 - 3.506.996
  9. PSV 2015 - 3.443.471
  10. PS3 2015 - 2.993.064
  11. PS4 2014 - 1.958.725
  12. PSV 2017 - 1.101.089
  13. PS3 2016 - 1.091.532
  14. PSV 2018 - 582.890

By Year:

  1. PS Eco System 2016 - 11.932.290
  2. PS Eco System 2014 - 11.199.346
  3. PS Eco System 2015 - 10.382.176
  4. PS Eco System 2017 - 9.462.066
  5. PS Eco System 2018 - 9.228.298
  6. PS Eco System 2019 - 7.181.200

They tried their best, there is barely any franchises that didn't end up on the PlayStation 4 at some point, hell even Level-5 at one point tried to support them. The issue is that as soon as Switch became a success in Japan, the audience third parties were aiming for started to transition. PS4 achieved it's best result in 2018 thanks to MHW, but it was obvious that would be the last year that we would see growth on the system. 

The bigger issue for 3rd Parties is that PSV audience basically transitioned to Switch which is evident by the results of Sony since PS4's launch. The system continued to receive support and contribute to Sony's decent results overall even though it was never the top performing platform for them. But the vast majority of games sold on the Vita were 3rd Party titles. Once audience identified Switch as Vita's replacement we can see that Sales sharply dropped by close to 2 million from 2016 to 2017 on the Vita which up until that point have very stable sales of 3.5 million per year.  

2020 result of the PS4/PS5 will be below 5 million, and that's despite Final Fantasy VII Remake doing twice the amount of the best selling PS3/PS4/PSV game in 2015 - Minecraft. 

Next year will be even worse as I doubt PS5 will manage to sell above 1.5 million hardware by the end of 2021 and there is not much chance that even with Final Fantasy XVI we don't see further decline. This will be confounded by PS4 dropping like a rock compared to the PS3 which managed 3 million software sales in 2015. 

Last edited by noshten - on 29 November 2020