Like many have said before me, it is near impossible to tell at this point. We won't truly know whether or not the PS5 will be able to outsell the switch for 2-3 years, and thats just due to the nature of
A.) how well it sells in comparison to the Series X/S
B.) How the middle years for the switch go (how much momentum can it keep from this year)
C.) It will give us an idea of how it is selling relative to the other PlayStation, I use VGchartz numbers for the 3/4, and shipments from Sony for the 2 (Even if they were really bad about actually releasing them in quarters)
D.) If the PS5 starts selling less in it's 2nd year than 1st this is bad, but if the opposite happens, then it is good. Basically can it preserve its momentum and build on to it?
Historically speaking the first year has rarely broken records for most consoles sold ever (Talking as in the Switches potential 30 million in a calendar year, PS5 and XSX will not do this in 2021) Launch day sell outs also tell us little of demand, but when a console doesn't sell out, we are told much. Currently XSX/S and PS5 are both in this category of unknown real demand, we can't really measure demand till we are a year in, but even then the console in the lead will not always win, though historically speaking I do believe the one in the lead by the end of the First Year (aligned) of a generation has always won. (What I mean is X360, PS3 and Wii aligned, not Wii, PS4, and Xbox)
Last edited by badskywalker - on 27 November 2020
