| RolStoppable said: 2021 is absolutely in the bag for Switch. In 2022 Switch sales will still be too strong for the PS5 to overcome. This thread is yet another instance where PS fans conveniently forget how good Switch's software pipeline is and that Switch serves both the home console and handheld market. There won't be a sharp dip in Switch sales, especially because Europe and Other regions remain strong growth areas for Nintendo; Switch started with modest numbers there and that in turn means that the saturation point in those regions will be hit later than in North America and Japan, so global sales will remain strong. 2023 is the first year where the PS5 will have a shot to sell better than Switch, but until then it has to be seen if the PS5 really has 20m+ years in it which a portion of PS fans believes. Much of it will depend on the reception of Microsoft's Game Pass and better multiplats on XSX which can both prove to become a notable obstacle for Sony, and Sony is helping Game Pass to get more attention with raised software prices. 17.5m+ might already prove to be challenging if Microsoft's offerings get traction and that level won't be high enough to beat Switch which will have better models and price reductions by 2023. Yes, Switch still selling ~20m in 2023 isn't out of the cards with continued strong software support and incentives to add more Switch units to a household. |
Yeah this sounds about right, only thing I don't agree with is Switch perhaps still being around 20mil in 2023.
2021 Switch will be completely dominant, it has a good chance to outsell PS5/Xbox combined (24 to 14+9). Switch should beat PS5 in 2022 as well, though maybe only by a million or two, as I'd guess PS5 will be starting to get into the high teens by then while Switch is falling into the high teens. Really 2022 it could go either way depending on how fast PS5 reaches its peak and how quickly Switch falls from its peak, but I'd expect Switch to more likely than not win 2022 by a bit maybe something like 19mil to 17mil or thereabouts. 2023 PS5 will be king as I'd expect Switch to do no more than 15 million while PS5 might be attempting to hit 20 million that year.
