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Well, I think what either of us thinks at this point is irrelevant. The machine IS selling without a "system seller" so he is already being proven right regardless of how we feel about it.

Besides, we have history there to give us an insight into people's buying habits:

Best-selling PlayStation launch games in the US (units, month of launch) -- NPD Data

PS2 LaunchPS3 LaunchPS4 Launch
1.Madden NFL 01Resistance: Fall of ManCall of Duty: Ghosts
2.Tekken Tag TournamentMadden NFL 07Battlefield 4
3.SSXCall of Duty 3Assassin's Creed 4: Black Flag
4.Ridge Racer 5Marvel: Ultimate AllianceKillzone: Shadow Fall
5.NHL 2001Need for Speed: CarbonNBA 2K14
6.Smuggler's RunTony Hawk's Project 8Madden NFL 25
7.Midnight Club: Street RacingRidge Racer 7Need for Speed: Rivals
8.SummonerNBA 2K7FIFA 14
9.TimeSplittersNBA 07Knack
10.Armored Core 2Tiger Woords PGA Tour 07LEGO Marvel Super Heroes

Best-selling Xbox launch games in the US (units, month of launch) -- NPD Data

Xbox LaunchXbox 360 LaunchXbox One Launch
1.HaloCall of Duty 2Call of Duty: Ghosts
2.Project Gotham RacingMadden NFL 06Battlefield 4
3.Dead or Alive 3Perfect Dark ZeroDead Rising 3
4.NFL Fever 2002Need for Speed: Most WantedForza 5
5.Madden NFL 02Project Gotham Racing 3Ryse Son of Rome
6.Oddworld's Munch's OddyseeKameo: Elements of PowerAssassin's Creed 4: Black Flag
7.Tony Hawk's Pro Skater 2xCondemned Criminal OriginsMadden NFL 25
8.NBA Life 2002Quake 4NBA 2K14
9.ShrekNBA Live 06FIFA 14
10.Amped: Freestyle SnowboardingGunNeed for Speed: Rivals

https://www.gamesindustry.biz/articles/2020-10-26-battle-of-the-launch-line-ups-what-games-make-for-a-successful-console-launch