curl-6 said: A vaccine from Canada-based Medicago starts combined Phase 2/3 trials: https://www.gsk.com/en-gb/media/press-releases/medicago-and-gsk-announce-start-of-phase-23-clinical-trials-of-adjuvanted-covid-19-vaccine-candidate/
There would still be way more verified cases of reinfection than there have been if it didn't confer any real immunity. |
Would it really?
Take Italy, they had found some 250K cases from the first wave. There are a bit over 60 million people in Italy. Chance to have been found positive from the first wave was about 0.4%. Based on that, the chance to catch it twice is 0.0017%.
By now Italy has found another 750K cases, 0.4% or about 3,000 people could have been reported with Covid during the first wave. So yes, maybe we should have heard more about re-infections now.
Actually we did
https://www.the-scientist.com/news-opinion/more-sars-cov-2-reinfections-reported-but-still-a-rare-event-68089
In his team’s analysis of hospital records of 100,432 individuals infected with SARS-CoV-2 between March and July 2020, only 285 (0.26 percent) presented signs that they’d contracted the virus twice.
Rare, yet the first wave was not that long ago and during the first wave most of the people that were tested already had severe symptoms triggering a bigger immune response. Plus the waves aren't necessarily hitting the same area twice.
As long as the vaccines last long enough to stop the circulation we should be good.