Don't think it will sell 10m+ before the end of the FY, but I do think it has chance at 10m lifetime if it has good legs. In order to have these good legs two things need to happen.
1) BotW 2 needs to be extremely successful. As in it needs to sell 20m+ lifetime. At this point it's too early to tell if this will happen.
2) Age of Calamity needs to generally be considered a good game. The idea here being if someone says, "Hey I liked the other two BotW games. Should I play Age of Calamity?", then the answer from most people needs to be "yes".
Basically, I'm saying that there might be a significant desire from people to "play the whole trilogy". But that is only going to happen if the two main Zelda games are phenomenal and Age of Calamity is pretty good. If all of that happens, then I think it can leg to 10m+. But if BotW 1 is seen as significantly better than the other two games, then most people will just play the first BotW and skip the other two games.
curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6
My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox
